YES EVERY NEW MOMENT MAY BE UNIQUE. BUT THE LEVELS OF RISK, THE SCALE AND MOMENTUM OF THE CRISIS WE FACE: ALL ARE COMPLETELY UNPRECEDENTED.
The rules for living here have changed.
Our parents and grandparents tried to live outside laws they didn't recognize. They could not or would not imagine the consequences of building a civilization on oil. They adapted to gradual change as "progress." They assumed it was a legacy well-earned and deserved, without costs or limits.
We assumed we could multiply without limit.
We took consumption for granted as our birthright. We thought our waste simply “went away.” We adapted and became addicted to technologies without noticing what we were giving up or how they changed us. Now we cling to obsolete assumptions and continue to ignore the new rules.
Sudden history in slow motion.
Now Gen Next adapts to accelerating transformation, takes constant change for granted. It's hard enough for adults to understand this revolutionary age, because we are so deeply embedded in it. It's hard to see our situation as absolutely unprecedented when it's the only one we know. The young have an extraordinary challenge: selecting from the information overload the bits and images that can help them understand and manage this unique time.
Of course every day is different.
Every year brings more change. Every hour offers new options. Every second is potentially unique. But most days unfold much like the day before. Yet the earth and our world are changing faster than they ever have.
THE RECKONING ...
... will involve the realization that these are in fact unprecedented and seriously perilous times ... that this moment represents a millennial tipping point or turning point.
Even the most sudden of the Ice Ages must have taken decades to occur. But we don't have time for perspective to descend on us gradually. We have to shift our thinking now. We need a new lens, a clear window on this extraordinary time.
Jokes about the alarmists abound.
The sky is falling. The end is near. In a weird coincidence, the contradictions only seem ironic. Don't worry. Everything's going to be OK. Yeah right. Which is it?
History and memory ...
are vital mental resources for understanding the present. We couldn't learn to live in the world or inhabit our shared cultures if we couldn’t remember what happened yesterday. As Steven Colbert quipped, "Those who cannot remember history are ... something something something." Our shared past is so deep and complex, so much of it has been distorted or forgotten, and the present is changing so fast. The ability of the young to grasp even the key fragments of history approaches the impossible.
Time is of the essence.
The speed and momentum of industrial consumption are essential to the system. Profit and waste are flip sides of the driving force. The faster fuel is consumed, the more work squeezed out of cheap labor and the faster resources are converted to landfill, the quicker profits grow and the wider grows the gap between the obscene rich and the desperate poor.
Quarterly stock prices eject long-term thinking from the boardroom. Novelty and obsolescence obscure true innovation and function. Electronic money transfer accelerates everything else. Advertising turns our unconscious needs into shopping addiction. Lust for unlimited power makes every mountain of wealth inadequate. Cash flow makes trash flow.
Urgent decisions occur in narrow windows of time.
Democracies, ours in particular, tend to move deliberately slowly. The U.S. Senate has brought ours nearly to a standstill. Corporations have acquired "the best democracy money can buy," which for them means one that is impotent. The right makes ineffective government a self-fulfilling belief, and hand over the keys to future to the corporations.
Democracy can be seen as the cultural extension of free will.
One person or many, facing decisions of all kinds, can perceive the world, gather the data, recognize the need, assess the risk and decide to act. But free and smart decisions, particularly in a large-scale emergency, require an unrestricted spectrum of information, collective insight and the power to act quickly.
When information is a product ...
in a "marketplace of ideas," the options are filtered through the money megaphone and the rest of us are muffled or crammed into the corners of the internet. Information vital to our life and death decisions has gone missing. Historic misdeeds are written out of history. Corporate crime is cropped out of the frame. The real good and bad possibilities are edited out of the timeline.
At the precise moment in history when clear perception, enlightened understanding and quick, popular decisions are the keys to survival, our civilization is being beaten by what gamers call "Lag" or "Latency," an inherent, systemic delay between information, decision and action.
It's great to have someone to blame, and revenge is a satisfying emotion. But neither is a viable tactic. Nevertheless, true causes can be identified, a trail of historical fact can lead to accountability. We can't allow the speed and complexity of the system to prevent us from seeing how we got here.
The conservative juggernaut that started with Reagan greased the skids on this thirty-year slide toward oblivion. Tax paranoia cut funding for education. Unions were demonized. Deregulation opened the door to financial fraud and corporate crime on a massive scale. The results: working capital ... real functional, personal wealth ... is sucked out of the economy and the life is sucked out of the planet. And get this if you can: those amounts must be nearly equal.
The Cold War was consciously converted into the War on Terror. Weapons profiteers were invited to design foreign policy. Efficiency and moderation were made to seem effeminate. Fear wrapped itself in the flag. And willful ignorance became the ticket to political power.
The result: there are many ways to visualize this dilemma. One is to see it as a crossroads battle in human history between collective intelligence and knee-jerk stupidity, between conscious will and reactionary fear.
The toxic waste inherent in the consumption economy does not just "go away." It enters a global ecosystem feedback loop that returns it to our lungs, our blood, our marrow, our nervous systems, our hormones and our DNA. The accumulations of hundreds of poisons in our bodies is ubiquitous, unmeasurable as "safe dosage," irreversible and unpredictable in risk. The waste we have tossed into the earth, the rivers, the oceans and the air is even more damaging in the long run.
Don't take my word for it. Type in the google. Do the math. Calculate the odds. Connect the dots. Try to put a frame around the big picture.
Global Warming.
Water.
Peak Oil.
Chemicals.
The Oceans.
Agribusiness and the Food Supply.
Deforestation.
Species extinction.
Disease.
Population.
Natural Disasters.
De-Education and the Missing Information.
Infrastructure.
Population.
Development.
Political and Social Instability.
The Next Financial Collapse.
Environmental Refugees.
The dual Myths of Unlimited Growth and the Wisdom of the Market.
Fear, Power, Money, Lies and Waste as Organizing Principles for a Global Economy.
This is a partial inventory of the maze of factors that make this moment absolutely, categorically different from all of human history. It is no wonder denial seems so comforting.
It's important to understand that climate change is only one of many ecological crises. Our complex culture has woven markets, war, elections, profits, media and policy into a menacing tangle. The legacy we leave to Generation Next mirrors the complex web. Many problems that may seem isolated or manageable are all interconnected. Any one crossing a tipping point can tip one or many others, very much like a chain reaction that we cannot predict. Without understanding the nature of a "critical state" we'll have no plan to postpone, manage or react to the one we inhabit.